WIMBLEDON — The stage is set for a thrilling Wimbledon final between Amanda Anisimova and Iga Swiatek, a clash that promises to be as much a mental battle as a physical one. In her latest BBC Sport column, Naomi Broady breaks down where this high-stakes match will be won and lost, describing it as "a chess match on grass."
Anisimova, the 21-year-old American, has been a revelation this tournament, showcasing her explosive power and fearless aggression. Meanwhile, Swiatek, the world No. 1, brings her trademark consistency and tactical brilliance. Broady emphasizes, "This final isn’t just about who hits harder—it’s about who outthinks the other at critical moments."
The Serve: Anisimova’s Weapon vs. Swiatek’s Precision
Anisimova’s serve has been a standout feature of her Wimbledon run. She’s averaging 112 mph on first serves, with a 72% win rate behind it. Broady notes, "When Anisimova’s serve is firing, she’s nearly unplayable—Swiatek will need to disrupt her rhythm early." Key stats to watch:
- Anisimova’s ace count: 48 this tournament
- Swiatek’s return points won: 42% on grass
Swiatek, while not as powerful, places her serves with surgical precision. Her ability to hit spots under pressure—especially on second serves—could neutralize Anisimova’s aggression. "If Swiatek can force Anisimova into uncomfortable return positions, she’ll dictate the rallies," Broady predicts.
Baseline Battle: Power vs. Movement
Anisimova’s flat, penetrating groundstrokes have overwhelmed opponents, but Swiatek’s footwork and defensive skills present a unique challenge. Broady highlights, "Swiatek’s ability to turn defense into offense is unparalleled—Anisimova must avoid overhitting."
Key Matchup: Backhand Down the Line
Anisimova’s backhand has been her most reliable shot, particularly down the line. Swiatek, however, excels at redirecting pace with her forehand. Broady observes, "If Anisimova can consistently attack Swiatek’s forehand corner, she’ll open up the court for winners."
Mental Fortitude: Handling the Moment
Swiatek’s experience in major finals (4-1 record) gives her an edge, but Anisimova’s fearless approach could level the playing field. Broady points out, "Anisimova plays her best tennis when she’s loose—if she embraces the occasion, Swiatek’s composure will be tested." Critical factors:
- First-set importance: Swiatek has won 82% of matches after taking the opener
- Anisimova’s break-point conversion: 58% this tournament
The X-Factor: Grass-Court Adjustments
Swiatek’s improved net play (73% success rate) could be decisive. Broady adds, "If Swiatek mixes in timely approaches, she’ll keep Anisimova guessing." Conversely, Anisimova’s drop shots have caught opponents off guard—using them against Swiatek’s deep positioning might pay dividends.
Conclusion: A Match of Fine Margins
Broady’s final analysis underscores the tactical nuance at play: "This final hinges on who adapts quicker. Anisimova’s power can dominate, but Swiatek’s IQ under pressure might tip the scales. Expect a rollercoaster—Wimbledon’s first three-set women’s final since 2012 wouldn’t surprise me."
With both players in peak form, the match could come down to a handful of pivotal points. As Broady puts it, "In a clash this even, the player who wins the mental chess match will lift the Venus Rosewater Dish."